Here is a list of our Predictions:
Season Win Totals:
NY Giants UNDER 9
Giants won 11 games last season with 8 of those wins by 7 or fewer points. Giants also benefited from the 30th easiest schedule but this season will face the 8th toughest. The Giants will also face 9 opponents this season coming off a bye week or on extended rest, never a good thing! We expect the Giants to finish 7-9.
New Orleans OVER 7.5
The Saints only won 7 games last season but that was against the League’s 4th toughest schedule. This year they should benefit from a step down in competition with a schedule that is ranked 15th toughest. Despite their 7-9 record last season it is worth noting the Saints ranked 4th in the League in total net yards. With some great offseason additions we see plenty of reasons for optimism. We expect the Saints to finish 9-7.
Arizona OVER 9
It is fair to say the Cardinals were one of the biggest letdowns last season. Despite battling injuries and facing the 7th toughest schedule in the league this team still finished 7-8-1. This season Arizona will benefit from the 23rd easiest schedule in the League and will not face any opponents off bye weeks, a huge advantage. Last season the Cardinals went 1-3 against teams off a bye. It is worth noting the Cardinals finished the season RANKED #1 in total net yards/gm with the Patriots 2nd. If the Cardinals stay healthy we see no reason why this team can’t finish 11-5.
Houston UNDER 8.5
The Texans won 9 games last season with 8 of those wins by 7 or fewer points. The bad news is that was against a schedule that only ranked 19th in the League. The worse news is they were -49 in point differential, indicating they could have finished even worse. Although the Texans will benefit from a step down to the 25th easiest schedule this season we can’t ignore the fact they will be facing division opponents who are much improved this season and will be playing with revenge. With the Texans recent dominance over their division it is only reasonable to expect some regression. We expect them to finish 7-9.
Cleveland OVER 4.5
We all know what happened last season but that was then and this is now. The Browns did a tremendous job in the offseason to beef up both sides of the ball. Their offensive line is stout and should have little trouble opening running lanes while protecting their rookie QB. The Browns should also benefit from the 21st easiest schedule in the League and are highly motivated to replace the nightmare of the last year! We expect them to finish 6-10.
Oakland UNDER 9.5
Oakland finished with 12 wins last season and this makes them a preseason favorite for many as a Super Bowl contender. However, we are not so optimistic! As good as the Raiders were we cannot ignore how many games were “miracle wins”, watching them stage late game rally’s and heroics to overcome huge deficits in some cases. While some will say this marks the heart of a champion we are of the opinion this is a “luck” factor that will be hard to match. The Raiders offense is undoubtedly their strength but it is their defense fans should worry about. We saw very little in the offseason to make us think they will be any better than last season and even saw some signs suggesting they might actually be worse. The Raiders also find themselves on the short end of the scheduling stick as they drew the 4th toughest schedule this year as opposed to the 15th toughest last year. We expect the Raiders to finish 8-8.
Our Picks to win the Super Bowl
Green Bay 8/1
Kansas City 25/1
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